Risk Terrain Modeling Research
Find out where and how place-based safety works around the world
Journal Publications
A spatial analysis of mental health-related calls for service in Atlantic City, New Jersey, 2024
Using Risk Terrain Modeling for the Risk Assessment of Explosive ATM Attacks, 2023
The ability of place-based risk factors to predict hate crime, 2023
Risk Terrain and Multilevel Modeling of Street Robbery Distribution in Baltimore City, 2023
Assessing the Differential Impact of Vacancy on Criminal Violence in the City of St. Louis, MO, 2021
Data-informed crime prevention at convenience stores in Atlantic City, 2021
Can information about “safe places” reduce female victimisation in Honduras?, 2021
Cholera deaths in Soho, London, 1854: Risk Terrain Modeling for epidemiological investigations, 2020
Unpacking Spatio-temporal Differences of Risk for Crime: An Analysis in Little Rock, AR, 2020
Tracking Risk for Crime Throughout the Day: An Examination of Jersey City Robberies, 2020
Risk of Robbery in a Tourist Destination: A Monthly Examination of Atlantic City, New Jersey, 2020
Risky Business: Examining the 80-20 Rule in Relation to a RTM Framework, 2020
Risk Terrain Modeling: Seasonality and Predictive Validity, 2019
Using Vulnerability and Exposure to Improve Robbery Prediction and Target Area Selection, 2019
Using risk terrain modeling to predict homeless related crime in Los Angeles, California. 2019
Spatial and Temporal Patterns of Risk: A Risk Terrain Modeling Approach in Stockholm, Sweden, 2018
Drug-related crime risk assessment and predictive policing based on risk terrain modeling, 2018
Forecasting Crime and Understanding its Causes. Applying Risk Terrain Modeling Worldwide, 2018
Forecasting Crime and Understanding its Causes. Applying Risk Terrain Modeling Worldwide, 2018
Predicting Property Crime Risk: an Application of Risk Terrain Modeling in Vancouver, Canada, 2018
Isolating Target And Neighbourhood Vulnerabilities In Crime Forecasting, 2018
Terrorism Risk Forecasting by Ideology, 2018
Bus Stops and Violence, Are Risky Places Really Risky?, 2018
Predicting Dynamical Crime Distribution From Environmental and Social Influences, 2018
Risk Terrains of Illicit Drug Activities in Durham Region, Ontario, 2018
Risk terrain modeling for monitoring illicit drugs markets across Bogota, Colombia, 2018
Measuring the effect heterogeneity of police enforcement actions across spatial contexts, 2018
Risky places: An analysis of carjackings in Detroit, 2017
Risk terrain modeling predicts child maltreatment, 2016
An analysis of spatial correlates of terrorism using risk terrain modeling, 2016
Examining the Environmental Characteristics of Drug Dealing Locations, 2016
A terrain risk assessment method for military surveillance applications for mobile assets, 2015
Risk Terrain Modeling for Spatial Risk Assessment, 2015 (PDF)
A Metric Comparison of Predictive Hot Spot Techniques and RTM, 2014
Spatial risk factors of felonious battery to police officers, 2014
Predictability of gun crimes: a comparison of hot spot and risk terrain modelling techniques, 2014
Evaluating the Temporal Parameters of Risk Terrain Modeling with Residential Burglary, 2013
Risk Terrain Modeling: Brokering Criminological Theory and GIS Methods for Crime Forecasting, 2010
Reports and Other Publications
Addressing Crime through Innovative Technology: Technology Implementation Guide, 2024
Innovative Strategies and Community Partnerships Drive Crime Reduction in New Orleans, 2024
CPE Publishes Redesigning Public Safety in the City of St. Louis: A Progress Report, 2023
ACIA Podcast – Risk Terrain Modeling, 2023
Risk Terrain Modeling – The Universe Just Answered Back, 2023
DA Williams, NOPD Meet To Discuss Risk Terrain Modeling In New Orleans, 2023
After illegal club shooting, Kansas City’s new task force targets problem businesses, 2023
Policing Productivity Review, 2023
Data-Informed Community Engagement: The Newark Public Safety Collaborative, 2022
Data-informed community engagement: the Newark Public Safety Collaborative, 2021
Stockton receives $700K DOJ grant to study police reform in Atlantic City, Pleasantville, 2021
Data-informed community engagement: the Newark Public Safety Collaborative, 2021
NPSC Launches A Collective Effort to Reduce Auto Thefts Due to Car Idling, 2021
Camden County Police Department: Crime Analysis, Technical Assistance, and Consultation, 2020
Operation Safe Surroundings, 2019
Police Technologies for Place-Base Crime Prevention, 2019
Robbery Vulnerability in Burlington, NC, 2018
Data Modeling Helps Reduce Risk of Violent Crime in Atlantic City, 2018
The Rise of Big Data Policing: Surveillance, Race, and the Future of Law Enforcement, 2017
Community Violence as a Population Health Issue: Proceedings of a Workshop, 2017
Using Research to Move Policing Forward, 2016
The Practice of Research in Criminology and Criminal Justice, 2016
Big Data: A Report on Algorithmic Systems, Opportunity, and Civil Rights, 2016
Crime Hot Spots and Risk Terrain Modeling, 2016
Micro Places – Kennedy et al., Colorado Springs, 2015
Micro Places – Kennedy et al., Glendale, 2015
Micro Places – Kennedy et al., Newark, 2015
Latin American cities study how to predict crime, 2015
Encyclopedia of Criminology and Criminal Justice, 2014
Translational Criminology and Counterterrorism, 2014
Hydrographic Risk Assessment for maritime Safety, 2013
Evidence-based Counterterrorism Policy, 2012
Forecasting Street Robberies, 2012
Geography and Public Safety, 2011 (PDF)
Media Coverage
New Wichita policing model aims to identify locations, not demographics, to lower gun crime, 2025
24-hour tire shop at center of criminal investigation seized and closed, 2025
Tremé crime hot spot seized by DA’s office, 2025
The St. Louis Public Safety Collaborative: Born from Frustration, Built on Hope, 2025
New Orleans presses for violent crime reduction by using data to pinpoint city’s hot spots, 2024
Former NOPD chief Michael Harrison joining the crime fight in New Orleans, 2024
Task force aimed to identify businesses with high number of violent incidents in KCMO, 2023
Attorney General Merrick B. Garland Delivers Remarks at the NIJ National Research Conference, 2023
Dallas Crime Reduction Success with ‘Risk Terrain Modeling’ Program, 2022
Rutgers-Newark Public Safety Collaborative Strengthens Work During Pandemic, 2022
How Big Data Turned an Empty South Dallas Lot Into a Vibrant Plaza, 2022
Local leaders focus on St. Louis City Police staffing amid new study, 2022
St. Louis Redesigns Public Safety, 2022
Dallas’ Risk Terrain Modeling Looks for the Root Cause of Crime, 2022
Data and analytics enable community groups to become partners in public safety, 2021
Dallas has a common-sense plan to fight crime, 2021
Risky places: Combining data and community resources to reduce crime at risky places, 2021
Crime in Dallas isn’t as Random as you Think – Here’s How Police can Predict It, 2020
Public Safety Reconsidered, 2020
NIRO Knowledge Podcast, Episode 10, 2020
Rutgers Researchers Develop App to Protect First Responders from COVID-19, 2020
Dallas creates new police committee to reduce violent crime, 2020
Research in Brief: Risk-Based Policing in the Kansas City, Missouri, Police Department, 2020
Risk Terrain Modeling Tells You Why Crime Happens in Certain Environments, 2020
Atlantic City crime rooted in addicted people, abandoned homes, residents say, 2019
New Software to help KCPD Identify Crime Risk, 2019
KC police rolling out risk-based policing method to predict where crimes will happen, 2019
Atlantic City’s Violent Crime Decreases With Risk Based Policing, 2018
Expertos en seguridad visitaron Alta Gracia, 2018 (Espanol)
Predictive policing one reason given for Atlantic City’s violent crime drop last year, 2018
Atlantic City Story: A new way to combat crime, 2018
Can Atlantic City’s bold experiment take racial bias out of predictive policing?, 2017
Breakthrough: Predicting the Future, 2017
The Rise of Big Data Policing Podcast, 2017
Texas: Child Maltreatment Prediction by Block, 2017
Ordinance reduces violent crime near late-night bars by making owners part of solution, 2017
Texas doctor seeks to stop child abuse before it can happen, 2017
Focus on Places, Not People, to Prevent Crime | TEDxStocktonUniversity, 2016
RTM Exemplar Award Winners, 2017 (PDF)
Crime Prevention by the Numbers, 2016
XSEDE Announces Advanced Computing for Social Change Program, 2016
Places, Not People, Are the Focus of This New Crime-Fighting Data Analysis Tool, 2015
Atlantic County Prosecutor’s Office Press Release, 2015
RU-N Partners with Atlantic County Officials to Help Fight Crime, 2015
HBPD analyst helps patrol officers target crime, 2015
[Edmonton] harnesses big data to study crime, 2015
Researchers Create Crime Prediction Map App, 2014